Week Ten Picks, Predictions and Preview: Michigan vs. Penn State

Week Ten Picks, Predictions and Preview: Michigan vs. Penn State

Football

Week Ten Picks, Predictions and Preview: Michigan vs. Penn State

The proverbial “revenge tour” continues, as the Wolverines host Penn State, a team that routed Michigan, 42-13, a year ago.

But, the tide seems to be turning. Michigan enters the game ranked No. 5, while the Nittany Lions (ranked No. 2 for the game a year ago) are No. 14 currently, and already have two losses.

College Football News’ Pete Fiutak and WolverinesWire’s Evan Petzold, Brandon Knapp and Isaiah Hole share their Vegas-style predictions for the game on Saturday as well as their final overview and score predictions for Michigan at MSU.

Pickers:

@PeteFiutak, College Football News
@EvanPetzold, WolverinesWire
@bknappblogs, WolverinesWire
@IsaiahHole, WolverinesWire

Vegas-style picks

pick against the spread (Michigan -10.5)

Pete Fiutak: MICHIGAN
Evan Petzold: MICHIGAN
Brandon Knapp: MICHIGAN
Isaiah Hole: PENN STATE

Your pick for the over/under (53)

Pete Fiutak: UNDER
Evan Petzold: UNDER
Brandon Knapp: UNDER
Isaiah Hole: UNDER

Over/under Michigan rushing yards (213)

Pete Fiutak: UNDER
Evan Petzold: UNDER
Brandon Knapp: UNDER
Isaiah Hole: OVER

Over/under Michigan passing yards (207)

Pete Fiutak: OVER
Evan Petzold: OVER
Brandon Knapp: OVER
Isaiah Hole: UNDER

Over/under Penn State PASSING yards (179)

Pete Fiutak: OVER
Evan Petzold: UNDER
Brandon Knapp: UNDER
Isaiah Hole: UNDER

Over/under PENn State RUsHING yards (118)

Pete Fiutak: UNDER
Evan Petzold: UNDER
Brandon Knapp: OVER
Isaiah Hole: OVER

Over/under PENn State total offensive yards (312)

Pete Fiutak: UNDER
Evan Petzold: UNDER
Brandon Knapp: UNDER
Isaiah Hole: UNDER

TRACE MCSORLEY rushing yards (60)

Pete Fiutak: WAY UNDER
Evan Petzold: UNDER
Brandon Knapp: UNDER
Isaiah Hole: OVER

Predictions

PETE FIUTAK

Overview: Michigan will come out and look the part. The Wolverines have had two weeks to rest up, while Penn State will be beaten up a bit after that nasty game against Iowa.

Player of the game for Michigan: Devin Bush Jr.
Two bold predictions:
1. McSorley doesn’t hit half of his passes
2. This is easier than many will make it out to be for the Wolverines
Final score prediction: Michigan 30 – Penn State 16

Evan Petzold

Overview: Michigan’s defense, anchored by defensive end Chase Winovich, will lock down Penn State’s offense, especially early in the game. While Penn State might be able to give the Wolverines some trouble near the middle of the game, quarterback Shea Patterson will lead his team to victory by scoring twice in the third quarter.

Player of the game for Michigan: Chase Winovich
Two bold predictions:
1. Michigan doesn’t allow a positive yard in the first quarter
2. Tarik Black catches Michigan’s first touchdown
Final score prediction: Michigan 21 – Penn State 7

Brandon Knapp

Overview: On offense Michigan will have trouble with Penn State’s defensive line. It will be a rough first quarter, but after that the Wolverines get their footing and wide receiver Tarik Black returns with a vengeance and blows up. The running game comes alive with Black and Patterson doing well in the passing game and they start pushing PSU near the edge.

On defense, Michigan will have a problem with McSorley at first, but after a 30-yard by him burns the defense, they learn and linebacker Devin Bush keeps him under wraps and the offense starts stuttering against the number one defense in the country.

Player of the game for Michigan: Tarik Black
Two bold predictions:
1. Tarik Black leads the team in yards, catches and touchdowns
2. Trace McSorley runs for under 50 yards
Final score prediction: Michigan 35 – Penn State 14

Isaiah Hole

Overview: In 2016, Michigan absolutely decimated Penn State, 49-10, and the Nittany Lions returned the favor in 2017, eviscerating the Wolverines, 42-13 in Happy Valley.

But this Penn State team isn’t as good as the previous two – the former of which won the Big Ten Conference, and the latter which looked like a College Football Playoff contender before losing heartbreakers to Ohio State and Michigan State.

Penn State has those attributes in common from last year, but unlike last year, there’s no generational running back in Saquon Barkley and no elite, star offensive coordinator in Joe Moorhead — which makes a big difference in the capability of the Nittany Lions. Of course, Trace McSorley has turned himself into something of a dangerman, and is 8th in the Big Ten in rushing, and has a pretty balanced attack when it comes to run/pass, but will that be enough?

Michigan’s on its proverbial “revenge tour” and has thus far dispatched two of last year’s losses with seeming ease. Can it do it now with No. 14 Penn State?

Expect Penn State to have more success offensively than the previous two teams, as the Nittany Lions are just more explosive in general. Local product KJ Hamler is a big threat with the ball in his hands and WR Juwan Johnson also poses a formidable threat. But neither are as potent as McSorley or RB Miles Sanders, who are both very versatile and are threats in both the run/pass games. If Michigan can get pressure on Penn State’s mediocre offensive line while managing to keep either player in front of it, then there’s a strong chance the Wolverines can negate Penn State’s big play ability. The onus will likely be on Devin Bush Jr. there to keep eyes on McSorley and mirror his every move. Take out McSorley, and you neutralize Penn State’s offense.

On the other side of the ball, PSU likes to get into the offensive backfield, and poses an even bigger threat than Michigan State’s front seven did. If Shea Patterson can get rid of the ball quickly and not make mistakes, there are plays to be made against the Nittany Lions secondary.

Player of the game for Michigan: Devin Bush Jr.
Three bold predictions:
1. Penn State breaks one long play (50+ yards) but Michigan contains the threat beyond that
2. Michigan eclipses 245 rushing yards (the most Penn State has given up to date)
3. Michigan’s special teams has at least one big play
Final score prediction: Michigan 24 – Penn State 14

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