Week Four Picks, Predictions and Preview: Nebraska at Michigan

michigan quarterback shea patterson under center

Week Four Picks, Predictions and Preview: Nebraska at Michigan

Football

Week Four Picks, Predictions and Preview: Nebraska at Michigan

Michigan now has two wins to go along with the loss after three weeks, and the Wolverines will look to improve to 3-1 this Saturday with Big Ten foe Nebraska coming to town for the first matchup between the Cornhuskers and the maize and blue since Jim Harbaugh took the helm prior to the 2015 season.

WolverinesWire’s Evan Petzold, Brandon Knapp and Isaiah Hole share their Vegas-style predictions for the game on Saturday as well as their final overview and score predictions for Nebraska at Michigan.

Pickers:

@EvanPetzold, WolverinesWire
@bknappblogs, WolverinesWire
@IsaiahHole, WolverinesWire

Vegas-style picks

pick against the spread (Michigan -18)

Evan Petzold: MICHIGAN
Brandon Knapp: MICHIGAN
Isaiah Hole: MICHIGAN

Your pick for the over/under (50.5)

Evan Petzold: OVER
Brandon Knapp: OVER
Isaiah Hole: UNDER

Over/under on MICHIGAN passing touchdowns (3)

Evan Petzold: PUSH
Brandon Knapp: PUSH
Isaiah Hole: OVER

Over/under on Michigan passing Yards (209.7)

Evan Petzold: OVER
Brandon Knapp: OVER
Isaiah Hole: OVER

Over/under Michigan rushing yards (187.7)

Evan Petzold: UNDER
Brandon Knapp: UNDER
Isaiah Hole: UNDER

Over/under Michigan tailbacks with over 100 yards rushing (1)

Evan Petzold: PUSH
Brandon Knapp: PUSH
Isaiah Hole: UNDER

Over/under Michigan tailbacks touchdowns (3)

Evan Petzold: UNDER
Brandon Knapp: UNDER
Isaiah Hole: UNDER

Over/under Michigan top WR catches (6)

Evan Petzold: OVER
Brandon Knapp: UNDER
Isaiah Hole: OVER

Over/under Michigan WR touchdowns (2)

Evan Petzold: PUSH
Brandon Knapp: PUSH
Isaiah Hole: OVER

Over/under Michigan Top WR yards (100)

Evan Petzold: OVER
Brandon Knapp: OVER
Isaiah Hole: OVER

Over/under Nebraska passing yards (206.5)

Evan Petzold: OVER
Brandon Knapp: OVER
Isaiah Hole: UNDER

Over/under NEBRASKA passing yards (258)

Evan Petzold: UNDER
Brandon Knapp: UNDER
Isaiah Hole: UNDER

Predictions

Evan Petzold

Overview: Riding off energy from massive victories against Western Michigan and SMU, I expect Michigan to roll the dice against Nebraska. A high-risk type offense will pay off for Shea Patterson and the Wolverines, leading to a 25-point victory in Ann Arbor. I view the game against the Huskers as Nico Collins’ breakout game. Also, I expect Lavert Hill to lock down the defense side of the ball and even come away with an interception or two.

For Nebraska, I expect coach Scott Frost’s team to throw the ball a ton, even as a group that is usually run-heavy. Quarterback Andrew Bunch threw two touchdowns to a weak Troy defense in a 24-19 loss last week. With Rashan Gary, Chase Winovich and others providing constant pressure, I expect an even worse performance from Bunch and company.

Offensive player of the game: Nico Collins
Defensive player of the game: Lavert Hill
One bold prediction: Tru Wilson rushes for more total yards than Chris Evans.
Final score prediction: Michigan 42 – Nebraska 17

Brandon Knapp

Overview:Michigan’s offense had a slow start last week against SMU, but once they got going they were on fire in the passing game. With Karan Higdon and Chris Evans hopefully back playing, that should help the running game, but expect Shea Patterson to have another big game this week against this weak Nebraska secondary.

The defense will have some trouble if Adrain Martinez is in as they have shown that scrambling quarterbacks can do some work against them, but they should be more prepared than the last two games as they probably weren’t expecting Brown to start the second half. Michigan’s defense has been good this year, but not quite to that elite level yet and this is a game to show that their defense is back to being a powerhouse, but it won’t look elite just yet.

Offensive player of the game: Shea Patterson
Defensive player of the game: Devin Bush Jr.
One bold prediction: Shea Patterson throws for 300 yards passing.
Final score prediction: Michigan 45 – Nebraska 14

Isaiah Hole

Overview: This game won’t be as it seems, based off perception.

Nebraska enters the game 0-2, having just lost to Sun Belt opponent, Troy — but that’s a team that beat LSU in Baton Rouge just under a year ago. The Huskers also lost to Colorado by a score in Week Two, which was Nebraska’s season opener, as its Week One contest was canceled due to inclement weather. But, this Huskers team, in Scott Frost’s first year has a lot going for it.

They are stout on defense, boasting the nation’s 39th-rated total defense. Particularly against the run, Nebraska is solid, ranked 20th in the nation. The Cornhuskers also have a solid pass rush, but with Shea Patterson emerging as one of the conference’s most accurate passers through three games, there’s an opportunity to torch one of the nation’s worst pass defenses. Expect a big game between Patterson and the emerging receivers. Donovan Peoples-Jones got all the stats last week, so Nico Collins should be a frequented target this week.

On the other side of the ball, there are a lot of questions. We don’t yet know if true freshman Adrian Martinez — a veritable dual-threat — will play or not. He missed last week, and sophomore Andrew Bunch got the start. If Martinez plays, he adds a rushing component that Michigan needs to be aware of — and keep contain of. With 117 yards on the ground in Week Two, and completing 15 of 20 passes against Colorado, Martinez can be dangerous. But, how will he fare — should he play — against the best defense he’s seen thus far? And how does Michigan rebound after a sordid affair — compared to what the defense is used to doing — against SMU? How will the absence of Khaleke Hudson at VIPER in the first-half affect what Martinez is able to do on the ground?

The coaches and players alike spoke a lot this week about the 13 penalties accumulated against SMU and how that — along with in the Notre Dame game — kept the defense on the field after 3rd down. Expect that to change this game, with a premium paid on discipline.

This game is close at the half, but this Michigan team has superior talent, and ultimately, it pulls away in the third quarter.

Offensive player of the game: Shea Patterson
Defensive player of the game: Khaleke Hudson (once he returns in the second half)
One bold prediction: Nico Collins has 7 catches for more than 100 yards.
Final score prediction: Michigan 35 – Nebraska 14

Contact/Follow @WolverinesWire

Latest

More WolverinesWire
Home